Philippines, Flooding, Landslides, Storms, and Winds in Region 1, 2, 3, MIMAROPA, 6, and CAR (TC MAWAR and Southwest Monsoon)

Update on Tropical Cyclone MAWAR (localname Betty), as of 29 May 2023 at 1000 HRS UTC+7

Country under monitoring: Philippines

1. OVERVIEW: TC MAWAR, currently as a typhoon category, slightly decelerates while moving northwestward over the waters east of Cagayan.

2. LOCATION: The centre of the eye of MAWAR was estimated based on all available data at 470 km East of Calayan, Cagayan.

3. STRENGTH: Maximum sustained winds of 155 km/h near the centre, gustiness of up to 190 km/h, central pressure of 950 hPa, and strong to typhoon-force winds extend outwards up to 770 km from the centre.

3. MOVEMENT: MAWAR is headed Northwestward at 15 km/h.

4. FORECAST
Track
a. MAWAR will move generally northwestward slowly today and may become slow-moving or almost stationary on 30-31 May while over the waters east of Batanes.
b. MAWAR will turn north northeastward on 31 May-1 June, and gradually accelerate towards the waters east of Taiwan.
c. MAWAR may exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on 2 June.

Intensity
a. MAWAR is forecast to steadily weaken over the next five days.
b. MAWAR may be downgraded into a severe tropical storm on 1-2 June, and into a tropical storm on 2-3 June.

5. Tropical Cylone Wind Signals (TCWS): At most TCWS no. 2 - Wind threat Gale-Force Winds (minor to moderate threat to lifeand property): Batanes and the northeastern portion of Cagayan including Babuyan Islands - Map Ilustration.

6. HAZARD:
Heavy rainfall
- 100-200 mm over Batanes and the eastern portion of Babuyan Islands; and 50-100 mm over the rest of Babuyan Islands, the northern portion of mainland Cagayan, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, La Union, Abra, and Benguet.

Severe Winds
- Minor to moderate impacts caused by gale-force winds are likely within the areas where Wind Signal No. 2 is hoisted.
- Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds (i.e., strong breeze to near gale strength) are possible within any of the areas where Wind Signal No.1 is currently in effect

Typhoon MAWAR strting to enhance the southwest monsoon:
- Occasional to monsoon rains over the western portions of Southern Luzon and Visayas.
- Occasional gusts are possible in the next 24 hours over localities in the eastern portion of Central Luzon, eastern and southern portions of Southern Luzon that are not under any Wind Signal, and most of Visayas.